The future With only four weeks left in the regular season, it’s a good time to examine the playoff picture...
JoinedFebruary 22, 2023
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I've been a sports fan for as long as I can remember. I became obsessed with the quantitative side of sports over time. Going down the data rabbit hole is my favorite place to be. Using the data to form opinions, testing those opinions via prediction markets is an alluring pursuit that has become my passion. My goal is to provide some insight into the game from a betting perspective. Follow me on betstamp.app @ JustpositiveEV
HOU v DC This game feels like a prequel to the rematch coming in the XFL championship game. It doesn’t...
Favorites Favorites are performing at an unusually high level in XFL this season. Looking at Week 2 forward, favorites are covering the spread at a rate of 75%. Over time, this number should naturally drop towards 50% as the sample size grows. However, for the past three weeks, as this...
This is an intriguing matchup with some fun narratives attached to it. First off, I’ve dubbed the battle between the...
Takeaways from the first Three Weeks Baselines Matter We watched the AAF, the XFL (2020), USFL, and now here we...
Got it Right Uncertainty at QB We saw D’Eriq King break out and supplant Jordan Ta’amu and Brett Hundley replace Luiz Perez. The game instantly became more interesting and DC bettors were rewarded by the change. Some speculation that Hundley would get increased snaps in week 2 pushed the betting...
Stock Up Chaos In three out of the four games this weekend the team with the yardage advantage lost the...
